The next miracle (v11.1): Owen Youngman

Knight Professor of Digital Media Strategy, Medill / Northwestern

Owen YoungmanOwen YoungmanOwen Youngman

Curses, moguled again

The October issue of The Atlantic gives us a chapter from a forthcoming book that, at the very least, has some eye-popping blurbs from marquee names.  It’s The Curse of the Mogul: What’s Wrong with the World’s Leading Media Companies, and among the raves available on its Amazon page are recommendations from James B. Stewart, Sylvia Nasar, and Joseph Stieglitz.

"The Curse of the Mogul," due Oct. 15 and excerpted in the current Atlantic

"The Curse of the Mogul," due Oct. 15 and excerpted in the current Atlantic

Due to be published Oct. 15, the book is the work of two Columbia professors and a consultant who say that the media industry’s current fix shouldn’t be blamed on the Internet and Craig Newmark; nor can it simply be laid at the door of newspaper editorial boards that endorsed Republican candidates, entertaining Michael Moore rants on YouTube notwithstanding.  Instead, they set out to demonstrate that media companies “generate consistently bad financial results” because of their ongoing strategic failures.

The Atlantic’s excerpt focuses on four specific bad strategies:

“Executives, investors, analysts, and the press seem to agree that the primary imperatives are to accelerate growth, diversify internationally, invest in content, and exploit digital convergence. Unfortunately, these are precisely the strategies that media companies pursued aggressively during the past lackluster decade. Understanding the fundamental flaws of these four tenets of conventional media wisdom—growth, globalization, content, and convergence—is essential to saving media shareholders of the future from the anemic returns of their predecessors.”

(Hmm, are we ready to predict that there actually will be “media shareholders of the future”?  Well, leaving that aside….)

Book covers generally can't be as entertaining as magazine illustrations.....

Ever notice how book covers generally can't be as entertaining as magazine illustrations? Especially illustrations of strategic visionaries.

Of course they had me at hello, given that they started with the AOL-Time Warner deal (and you know what I thought about that). Newspapers are largely missing from the excerpt – News Corp. is there, but Rupert is treated better in the text than in the Atlantic’s illustration (above). Nevertheless, it’s perfectly fine to generalize when the authors argue that no matter who coined the phrase, content is not and cannot be king.

“But content cannot be king, because the talent required to create it cannot provide a sustainable competitive advantage….It is no coincidence that Google, the most profitable and successful new media company, is an aggregator, not a content creator.”

Sometimes the authors have fun with the obvious, other times they are obviously having fun (from a section debunking the value of convergence, a myth dear to the hearts if not the pocketbooks of ex-Tribune Co. types: “Whenever someone suggests to you that breaking down barriers to entry is good news, hold tight to your wallet”), it’s going to be not-put-down-able.

Which is the opposite of what the authors are saying about the moguls.

Throw out this lifeline

Throw out the lifeline with hand quick and strong:
Why do you tarry, why linger so long?
See! he is sinking; oh, hasten today
And out with the lifeboat! away, then away!

(Refrain:)

Throw out the lifeline! Throw out the lifeline!
Someone is drifting away;
Throw out the lifeline! Throw out the lifeline!
Someone is sinking today.

– From the hymn by Edwin S. Ufford, 1888.

Today I was one of six lecturers at the annual kickoff symposium for “Know Your Chicago,” a 61-year-old fall tour series run out of the University of Chicago’s Graham School of General Studies. What quickly became clear as I delivered my talk, “When Worlds Collide: The Journalist, Technology, and the Audience,” was that this particular audience … several hundred folks who were mostly my age and older, mostly women … was deeply invested in being reassured about their morning newspapers.

In fact, I was only interrupted by applause twice, and then only in the Q&A:  once when I said I was one of those folks who valued having a printed paper in the morning, and once when I opined that some newspapers would certainly be around as long as I am (or words to that effect).  This after I had pointed out that Col. McCormick’s classic definition of a newspaper —

“The newspaper is an institution developed by modern civilization to present the news of the day, to foster commerce and industry, to inform and lead public opinion, and to furnish that check upon government which no constitution has ever been able to provide.”

— really didn’t require that the newspaper actually exist in newsprint form. What folks cherish is the idea of a newspaper, whether the Colonel’s or someone else’s.

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Who will pay?

It was a piquant question . . . well, piquant if you took it the right way . . . and then-Chicago Tribune publisher Scott Smith seemed to ask it at all the right times.

“Who will pay?”

There was never any shortage of product ideas, and in fact never a shortage of good product ideas, at the Tribune during Scott’s era, roughly 1997 to 2008. For nearly all of these ideas, it was a simple matter to quantify and project the costs. For nearly as many, it was pretty straightforward to estimate the size of the audience and its members’ potential enthusiasm.

“But who will pay?”

Were there advertisers out there – real ones, not notional ones – ready to support this idea with actual dollars (and would those dollars be new, or just shifted from somewhere else?)? Were there potential partners willing to help bear the costs due to mutual self-interest? Or might there be actual consumers ready to fork out a quarter, or a couple of bucks?

Once in a while, we could answer Scott’s “pleasantly stimulating” question, and before long we’d have a RedEye or a Chicago Home & Garden or a Triblocal.com. But probably more often, we had to confess that we just had no idea.

I flashed back to this question today when I read of the demise, or transition, of the Chi-Town Daily News, ex-Tribune reporter Geoff Dougherty’s effort at nonprofit community journalism. (For a dandy compendium of links to reports and analysis, from harsh to hushed, head over to Eric Zorn’s Change of Subject at chicagotribune.com.)

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